Tuesday 2 June 2009

European Election betting – a last word

This blog's favoured bookie, Paddy Power, has stopped quoting odds for the European election in Northern Ireland. Another bookie, William Hill, continues to offer odds on the likelihood of the various candidates to win a seat, as follows:

Bairbre De Brun (SF) - 1/66
Diane Dodds (DUP) - 1/33
Jim Nicholson (UUP) - 1/10
Jim Allister (TUV) - 4/1
Alban Maginness (SDLP) - 6/1
Ian Parsley (Alliance) - 33/1
Steven Agnew (Green Party) - 33/1

This corresponds fairly closely, both in terms of order of preference and actual odds, with the last-known odds quoted by Paddy Power. Since this blog has not followed William Hill's odds up to now, it is hard to say whether the differences (slightly shorter odds on Dodds, Nicholson and Allister, slightly longer odds on de Brún, Maginness, Agnew and Parsley) reflect a change since Paddy Power's last-known odds (29 May), or whether they represent a consistent pattern of slightly more unionist-friendly odds. Perhaps Paddy Power is the bookie of choice of nationalists, and William Hill the choice of unionists?

We'll find out on 8 June.

6 comments:

hoboroad said...

Gregory Campbell claims £77,000 on second home in expenses.

hoboroad said...

I see Barack Obama has appointed another Republican to his administration.John McHugh is his name a New York Congressman is his game.What is this Affirmative Action for Stupid White people?Very clever move from a very clever politican.Secretary of the Army is the post so any screw-ups in the military it's the Republican Partys fault very shrewd.

Anonymous said...

Well, if the bookies are our best pre-election indicator it looks bad for Alban. Sadly.

But the flip side sees SF topping the race. Progress.

MPG.....

kieron said...

PP is back up - no odds though on who will top the poll anymore.

Bairbre de Brun (SF) 1/50
Diane Dodds (DUP) 1/50
Jim Nicholson (UC) 1/12
Jim Allister (TUV) 3/1
Alban Maginness (SDLP) 7/1
Steven Agnew (Green) 20/1
Ian Parsley (Alliance) 25/1

hoboroad said...

24 hours and counting

Militant Mike said...

Well as Martin L. King once said "youve gotta have a dream mate" so i'll go for Parsley ahead of Agnew and ending up One vote ahead of Allister. I will consider that my very own vote and will go out and get thoroughly pissed.